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ATM: Regulatory Progress And Index Changes Will Shape Medium-Term Performance Outlook

Update shared on 27 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 6.02%
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Analysts have raised their price target for a2 Milk from $9.37 to $9.93 per share. They cite improved revenue growth expectations, although the profit margin outlook is slightly lower.

What's in the News

  • The a2 Milk Company received approval from New Zealand and Chinese authorities for the process to transition China label infant milk formula registrations to a2MC branded products. Final approval is expected in 2026, with a potential product launch in the first half of 2027 (Regulatory Authority: Compliance).
  • For 2026, a2 Milk expects low double-digit percentage growth in earnings compared to fiscal year 2025 (Corporate Guidance: New/Confirmed).
  • a2 Milk expanded its strategic partnership with China State Farm Agribusiness Holding Shanghai Co. Ltd. to distribute English label infant milk formula products through cross-border eCommerce channels, with plans to include additional products (Client Announcements).
  • The company was added to the S&P Global BMI Index on the Australian Securities Exchange but was dropped from the index on the New Zealand Stock Exchange (Index Constituent Changes).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target: Increased from NZ$9.37 to NZ$9.93 per share, representing a modest rise.
  • Discount Rate: Remained unchanged at 7.10%.
  • Revenue Growth: Increased slightly from 5.90% to 6.69%.
  • Net Profit Margin: Declined marginally from 12.83% to 12.73%.
  • Future P/E: Increased from 28.80x to 30.09x, indicating slightly higher future earnings expectations.

Disclaimer

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