Update shared on 15 Dec 2025
Analysts have nudged their price target for Infratil slightly higher to reflect modest improvements in discount rate assumptions and long term profitability expectations, while leaving their fair value estimate effectively unchanged at $13.72.
What's in the News
- Infratil Limited declared a higher cash dividend of NZD 0.08044118 per ordinary share for the six months ended September 30, 2025, with a record date of November 27 and payment on December 16, 2025 (company announcement).
- CDC, an Infratil-backed data centre operator, plans a new strategic partnership with Firmus Technologies and NVIDIA, supported by about 40MW of CDC capacity at a Melbourne site, with initial delivery expected from April 2026 (company announcement).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate is unchanged at NZ$13.72 per share, indicating no material shift in overall valuation despite updated assumptions.
- The Discount Rate edged down slightly from 7.62 percent to about 7.61 percent, modestly increasing the present value of future cash flows.
- The Revenue Growth Assumption is effectively unchanged, moving fractionally from approximately minus 8.32 percent to minus 8.32 percent.
- The Net Profit Margin remains stable at around 5.52 percent, with only an immaterial numerical adjustment in the model.
- The Future P/E Multiple eased marginally from about 93.33x to 93.31x, reflecting a negligible change in long term valuation expectations.
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