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KIT: Defence Demand And Buybacks Will Drive Future Earnings Upside

Update shared on 07 Dec 2025

Fair value Decreased 0.14%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
108.7%
7D
7.9%

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Kitron slightly, citing only marginal adjustments to fair value assumptions and discount rates, despite modestly higher forecasts for revenue growth and profit margins. This has resulted in a roughly NOK 0.10 reduction in estimated per share value.

What's in the News

  • Kitron ASA has completed a follow on equity offering of 17 million ordinary shares, raising approximately NOK 973.25 million at NOK 57.25 per share, with the shares to be listed through a subsequent direct listing, supporting balance sheet strength and growth investments (Key Developments).
  • The company has revised its 2025 earnings guidance upward, now expecting revenue of EUR 700 million to 740 million and EBIT of EUR 59 million to 66 million, driven by stronger demand from the Defence and Aerospace segment (Key Developments).
  • For 2026, Kitron has issued new guidance excluding DeltaNordic, targeting revenue between EUR 785 million and 865 million and EBIT between EUR 70 million and 84 million, signaling continued growth and margin ambitions (Key Developments).
  • Kitron has secured a EUR 100 million order from a Defence and Aerospace customer, with deliveries scheduled for 2025 and 2026, further underpinning the upgraded outlook for those years (Key Developments).
  • The company has launched a share buyback program authorizing repurchases of up to 10 percent of share capital, with a price cap of NOK 100 per share and flexibility to use repurchased shares for cancellation, board remuneration, incentive schemes, or acquisition consideration, valid until June 30, 2026 (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: edged down slightly from NOK 75.18 to NOK 75.08 per share, reflecting a marginal reduction in the valuation model output.
  • Discount Rate: increased slightly from 7.95 percent to 7.96 percent, implying a modestly higher required return for Kitron's equity.
  • Revenue Growth: risen slightly from 17.77 percent to 18.02 percent, indicating a small uplift in long term top line expectations.
  • Net Profit Margin: improved marginally from 7.09 percent to 7.11 percent, signaling a slightly more optimistic view on profitability.
  • Future P/E: declined slightly from 15.19x to 15.08x, suggesting a modest compression in the earnings multiple applied to forward estimates.

Disclaimer

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