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KOG: Recent Upgrades And Planned Demerger Will Unlock Further Share Momentum

Update shared on 01 Dec 2025

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Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Kongsberg Gruppen, now valuing shares at NOK 301.29. Recent upgrades from several firms reflect growing optimism following post-earnings share movement and improved sector sentiment.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst actions reflect a shifted outlook on Kongsberg Gruppen, with both optimism for the company’s growth and ongoing caution regarding near-term risks and expectations.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts have raised their ratings following the company’s earnings. This suggests growing confidence in Kongsberg Gruppen’s valuation and execution.
  • Improved sentiment in the sector and resilient business performance are seen as catalysts behind the upgrades and higher price targets.
  • The company’s share movement post-earnings is viewed as an opportunity for potential upside, with solid fundamentals supporting the possibility of further growth.
  • Some analysts have set price targets that reflect expectations of continued momentum and recovery beyond recent volatility.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts still point out downside risk to consensus estimates, highlighting uncertainty in the earnings trajectory despite recent improvements.
  • Caution remains regarding the sustainability of recent growth, as some upgrades have been paired with either flat or reduced price targets.
  • Not all analysts are convinced of significant near-term outperformance. Some have initiated coverage at a neutral stance and are highlighting mixed outlooks for the company’s future execution.

What's in the News

  • Kongsberg Gruppen announced that Martin Wien Fjell will become Chief Financial Officer following the completion of Kongsberg Maritime's demerger. Fjell previously served as President of Kongsberg Discovery and has held roles within Umoe, Fondsfinans, and Morgan Stanley. (Company Announcement)
  • The Board of Kongsberg Gruppen has proposed creating two focused and independent companies. One will be an independent maritime technology firm to be listed on the Euronext Oslo Stock Exchange, and the other will consolidate defence and discovery units, strengthening their position in markets driven by security and sustainability. (Company Announcement)
  • The proposed demerger of Kongsberg Maritime is expected to conclude in the second quarter of 2026. Shares in the new entity will be issued directly to existing KONGSBERG shareholders with no new capital raised, and the Norwegian state will retain its ownership percentage. (Company Announcement)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target: Adjusted marginally to NOK 301.29, reflecting a stable outlook for fair value.
  • Discount Rate: Decreased slightly from 6.87% to approximately 6.87%, suggesting a minor change in perceived risk or capital costs.
  • Revenue Growth: Remains unchanged at approximately 14.23%, indicating a consistent expectation for top-line expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin: Stable at around 11.37%, with no notable shift in projected profitability levels.
  • Future P/E Ratio: Edged down minimally from 34.95x to 34.95x, reflecting nearly identical forward valuation expectations.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.