Update shared on22 Oct 2025
Fair value Increased 2.42%ASM International's fair value estimate has been raised from €583.3 to €597.4. This change reflects analysts' recent adjustments to price targets and improving expectations for the company's revenue growth.
Analyst Commentary
Analysts have recently updated their views on ASM International, resulting in both upward and downward revisions to price targets. Their perspectives highlight a mix of confidence in the company’s future prospects and caution regarding near-term challenges.
Bullish Takeaways
- Bullish analysts have raised price targets significantly, reflecting increased confidence in the company’s ability to deliver long-term revenue growth.
- Ratings have consistently remained positive, with a maintained Buy stance that indicates ongoing belief in ASM International’s execution and strategic direction.
- The most recent upward adjustment signals optimism around future market demand and the firm’s capacity to capitalize on industry trends.
- Expectations for recovery in organic growth remain intact, even with recent volatility and short-term order fluctuations.
Bearish Takeaways
- Some analysts have trimmed their price targets, citing concern over missed orders in the most recent quarter and the potential impact on 2026 growth forecasts.
- Lowered targets reflect caution regarding execution risks and the ability to meet previously stated ambitions for organic growth.
- The reduction in price targets across several firms suggests near-term headwinds or uncertainty about demand and order momentum.
What's in the News
- ASM International lowered its revenue guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, citing weaker demand across several markets and expects H2 2025 revenues to be 5% to 10% lower than H1, with full-year growth now at the lower end of the previous outlook (Key Developments).
- The company confirmed revenue guidance for Q3 2025, adjusted its 2027 revenue target for currency effects to EUR 3.7 to 4.6 billion, and set a new target to achieve more than EUR 5.7 billion in revenue by 2030 (Key Developments).
- ASM International has completed a share buyback, repurchasing 322,533 shares, representing 0.66% of outstanding shares, for €150 million between April and July 2025 (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate has increased from €583.3 to €597.4, reflecting a marginal upward adjustment.
- Discount Rate has decreased slightly from 7.99% to 7.98%, which indicates a marginally lower risk assessment.
- Revenue Growth Forecast has risen from 10.13% to 10.53%, suggesting improved expectations for future sales expansion.
- Net Profit Margin has edged down from 25.12% to 24.98%, showing a minor contraction in anticipated profitability.
- Future P/E Ratio has increased from 32.88x to 33.48x, which reflects market expectations of stronger future earnings or higher investor demand for the stock.
Disclaimer
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