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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for INGA

Update shared on 28 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 0.24%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
53.4%
7D
2.5%

Analysts have slightly raised their fair value price target for ING Groep from €22.48 to €22.53. This change reflects improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst activity reflects a mix of positive and cautious perspectives on ING Groep's outlook, with several adjustments to price targets and ratings in light of evolving fundamentals.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts have raised their price targets following improved deposit growth. ING reported one of the highest year-over-year increases in Europe at 7 percent.
  • Expectations for a boost in net interest income growth from the fourth quarter onward are supporting higher valuation estimates.
  • Upgrades to Overweight ratings reinforce the view that ING's operational execution and strategic positioning are favorable compared to peers in the European banking sector.
  • Rising profit margin projections are leading analysts to maintain optimistic forecasts for the company's medium-term performance.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts have trimmed price targets, reflecting concerns around valuation headroom after recent share price gains.
  • Some anticipate that margin improvements may be tempered if offered rate cuts do not continue to translate into higher earnings as expected.
  • Cautious sentiment exists surrounding competitive pressures within the European banking market, which could challenge ING's growth trajectory.
  • Uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment remains a factor prompting more conservative ratings and target adjustments.

What's in the News

  • DBS Bank Ltd. has been added as the Co-Lead Underwriter for ING Groep N.V.'s $1.5 billion Fixed-Income Offering (Key Developments).
  • ING Groep completed a share buyback, repurchasing 40,200,000 shares, which represents 1.32% of shares outstanding, for €738 million between May 2, 2025 and June 30, 2025 (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from €22.48 to €22.53, reflecting a marginal increase in fair value expectations.
  • Discount Rate has increased modestly from 6.29% to 6.30%, indicating a minor rise in required return assumptions.
  • Revenue Growth projections have improved, moving from 8.98% to 9.88%. This signals stronger expectations for top-line expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin estimates have increased from 27.18% to 28.51%, pointing to anticipated improvements in profitability.
  • Future P/E ratio has declined from 10.20x to 9.51x, which suggests higher earnings forecasts or a more attractive valuation.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.