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High Quality Business and a true compounding machine

EM
emndyInvested
Community Contributor
Published
10 Oct 24
Updated
27 Feb 25
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emndy's Fair Value
₦1,564.09
49.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
27 Feb
₦785.00
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1Y
239.1%
7D
0%

Author's Valuation

₦1.6k

49.8% undervalued intrinsic discount

emndy's Fair Value

PRESCO operates in Oil Palm sector which has high entry cost and long gestation period.

PRESCO has high margins (Gross & Net) and pricing power with specialized products including RBDO. Strong enough MOAT - competitive advantage inorder to protect and sustain the high ROCE for a long time

PRESCO has quality earnings. High cash generating capacity, High FCF margin and FCF/Net income Ratio

PRESCO has High ROCE, Fair payout ratio with growth opportunity to allow compounding the retained earnings. Has a lot of unplanted areas. Capacity and history of expansion organically and inorganically.

Owner operators, good management with proven track record

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FACTORS SUPPORTING UPSIDE;

--Market is mostly B2B (Industrial customers)

--Product pricing takes into account international CPO prices and local inflation

--100% acquisition of Ghana Oil Palm Development Company (GOPDC) Limited (Export capabilities)

--Increased quantity and quality of FFBs from relatively young SNL plants (Ubima and Elele Estates)

--Completion of the New Mill at Ato Estate in expected in 2025

--Further Increased Processing and Refining Capacity

--Indonesia's increase in biodiesel blending: There's a robust demand for palm oil, particularly in biodiesel production, driven by policy mandates. Indonesia's increase in biodiesel blend rates from B35 to B40, and plans to reach B50, will require additional palm oil, supporting higher prices.

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SEE BELOW PRESCO's FUNDAMENTALS BASED ON FY'24 UNAUDITED REPORT

5Year Equity CAGR 44%

------Balance Sheet Health

Interest Coverage 14X; Net Debt/FCF 0.4

------Capital Intensity

CAPEX/Sales 34%; CAPEX/CFO 48%

------Capital Allocation

ROE 60%

ROCE 56%

CFROI 57%

ROIC 54%

CROIC 39%

CCR (CFO/Net Income) 136%

------Profitabilty

Gross Margin 68%

Net Profit Margin 53%

FCF Margin (FCF/Revenue) 37%

FCF Conversion (FCF/Net Income) 71%

------Deal Maker Toolkit

EV/EBITDA 5.7

ROIC - quality 54%

Earnings Yield EY 13%

------Growth

Revenue Growth YoY 239%

Earnings Growth YoY 455%

FCF Growth YoY 141%

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Disclaimer

The user emndy has a position in NGSE:PRESCO. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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₦922.85
FV
14.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
29.89%
Revenue growth p.a.
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