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9107: Dividend Hike And Earnings Outlook Will Guide Balanced Future Expectations

US Tariffs And Overcapacity Will Crush Shipping Margins

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9107
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 27 Jul 2025

Update shared on 07 Dec 2025

Fair value Decreased 1.10%
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Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, from ¥2,062.73 to ¥2,040.00. This reflects modestly higher discount rate assumptions and slightly softer projected profitability, even as revenue growth expectations have been revised upward.

What's in the News

  • Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha raised its second quarter dividend to JPY 60.00 per share, up from JPY 50.00 a year earlier, with payments scheduled to commence on December 4, 2025 (Key Developments).
  • The company revised its full year ending March 31, 2026 guidance, lifting expected operating revenues to JPY 984.0 billion from JPY 968.0 billion, while trimming operating income to JPY 86.0 billion from JPY 90.0 billion (Key Developments).
  • Profit attributable to owners of the parent for the same period is now projected at JPY 105.0 billion, or JPY 166.14 per share, down from the previous forecast of JPY 115.0 billion, or JPY 181.96 per share, mainly due to a revised outlook for the Product Logistics segment (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • The fair value estimate has edged down slightly from ¥2,062.73 to ¥2,040.00 per share.
  • The discount rate has risen marginally from 5.27% to about 5.31%, reflecting a modestly higher required return.
  • The revenue growth assumption has increased sharply from around 3.8% to approximately 88.3%, indicating a substantially more optimistic top line outlook.
  • The net profit margin forecast has eased slightly from about 10.32% to roughly 10.17%.
  • The future P/E multiple has declined modestly from 13.99x to about 13.70x, implying a slightly lower valuation multiple on forward earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.