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Update shared on17 Sep 2025

Fair value Increased 1.49%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
JP¥14,634.88
24.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
17 Sep
JP¥18,255.00
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1Y
117.2%
7D
2.0%

A modest reduction in SoftBank Group’s discount rate, reflecting lower perceived risk or improved funding conditions, has marginally increased the consensus analyst price target from ¥14,420 to ¥14,635.


What's in the News


  • OpenAI, backed by SoftBank, is pursuing a $500B valuation through a $6B secondary market sale of employee shares, as SoftBank considers making a $10B commitment dependent on OpenAI's restructuring deal with Microsoft progressing by year-end (NY Times, Bloomberg, Financial Times).
  • OpenAI forecasts up to $115B in spending through 2029—$80B above earlier estimates—driven by investment in proprietary data center chips and facilities (Bloomberg).
  • SoftBank and Foxconn will manufacture data center equipment at the former GM Lordstown, Ohio factory, which SoftBank acquired; the site is part of the Stargate AI infrastructure project (Reuters, Bloomberg).
  • SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son held talks with Intel about acquiring its chipmaking business prior to a $2B investment in Intel and separately pitched a $1T AI hub in Arizona in partnership with TSMC (Financial Times, Bloomberg).
  • Portfolio companies Klook and PayPay, both backed by SoftBank, have hired major investment banks to arrange upcoming U.S. IPOs (Reuters).

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for SoftBank Group

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from ¥14420 to ¥14635.
  • The Discount Rate for SoftBank Group has fallen slightly from 4.93% to 4.72%.
  • The Future P/E for SoftBank Group remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 36.46x to 36.78x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.