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9433: Future Margins And Capital Returns Will Balance Regulatory And Operational Risks

Update shared on 14 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 0.32%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
8.7%
7D
1.2%

Analysts have raised their price target on KDDI slightly to approximately ¥2,725 from about ¥2,716, reflecting modestly improved expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples.

What's in the News

  • KDDI's board will meet on December 12, 2025, to approve the transfer of its bulk power purchasing service business for condominiums to Next Power Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Kansai Electric Power, via an absorption-type company split (company filing).
  • The company declared a second-quarter-end dividend of JPY 40.00 per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, with payment scheduled for December 8, 2025 (company announcement).
  • Between July 1 and September 12, 2025, KDDI completed a share repurchase program, buying back 171,754,264 shares, or 4.32 percent of shares outstanding, for approximately ¥400 billion under the buyback announced on May 14, 2025 (company announcement).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly to approximately ¥2,725 from about ¥2,716, reflecting a modest upward revision in intrinsic value.
  • Discount Rate is unchanged at 4.8 percent, indicating no shift in the assumed cost of capital or risk profile.
  • Revenue Growth has inched up marginally to about 3.21 percent from roughly 3.21 percent previously, signaling a very small improvement in top line expectations.
  • Net Profit Margin has increased slightly to around 12.58 percent from about 12.58 percent, implying a modestly more optimistic view on profitability.
  • Future P/E has edged up slightly to roughly 12.32x from about 12.29x, pointing to a marginally higher expected valuation multiple on forward earnings.

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Disclaimer

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