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Update shared on13 Sep 2025

Fair value Decreased 1.79%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
JP¥27,499.09
17.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
13 Sep
JP¥22,585.00
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1Y
-4.6%
7D
11.6%

The consensus price target for Tokyo Electron was slightly reduced, primarily reflecting lowered revenue growth expectations, resulting in a marginal decrease in fair value from ¥27,999 to ¥27,499.


What's in the News


  • Three people were indicted in Taiwan for allegedly stealing sensitive 2-nanometer chip technology from TSMC to aid Tokyo Electron's etching machine development and improve its competitive position with TSMC (Wall Street Journal).
  • Tokyo Electron is a participating member in the newly established JOINT3 consortium led by Resonac Corporation, focusing on the next-generation panel-level organic interposer packaging technology for semiconductors, with prototype production expected to begin in 2026 (Key Developments).
  • Tokyo Electron revised its full-year fiscal 2026 consolidated earnings guidance downward, now expecting net sales of JPY 2,350,000 million, operating income of JPY 570,000 million, and net income of JPY 444,000 million, sharply lower than prior forecasts (Key Developments).
  • The company also reduced its expected year-end dividend for fiscal 2025 to JPY 240.00 per share, down from JPY 373.00 per share previously projected (Key Developments).
  • Tokyo Electron confirmed guidance for the six months ending September 30, 2025 (net sales: JPY 1,150,000 million; operating income: JPY 288,000 million; net income: JPY 224,000 million) and held board meetings on stock compensation and stock option issuance for officers (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Tokyo Electron

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from ¥27999 to ¥27499.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Tokyo Electron has fallen from 6.9% per annum to 6.6% per annum.
  • The Discount Rate for Tokyo Electron remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 8.44% to 8.33%.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.