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Reduced-risk Offerings And International Markets Will Secure Long-Term Success

Update shared on 19 Oct 2025

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Narrative Update on Japan Tobacco: Analyst Price Target Revision

Analysts have raised their price target for Japan Tobacco from ¥4,920 to ¥4,974. They cite modest improvements in projected revenue growth and a slightly lower discount rate as key factors in the adjustment.

What's in the News

  • Board of Directors approved an absorption-type split contract with Shionogi to restructure business operations at the meeting held on September 25, 2025.
  • The dividend for the second quarter of 2025 increased to JPY 104.00 per share from JPY 97.00, payable on September 1, with full-year guidance also raised.
  • Revenue and profit forecasts for the 2025 fiscal year have been revised upward, with expected revenue increasing by 2.2%, operating profit by 10.1%, and basic earnings per share to JPY 278.25.

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from ¥4,920 to approximately ¥4,974.
  • The discount rate has decreased modestly from 5.71% to 5.68%.
  • Revenue growth expectations have increased marginally from 4.54% to 4.61%.
  • Net profit margin has declined slightly from 17.18% to 17.14%.
  • The future P/E ratio is up modestly from 15.85x to 16.01x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.