Update shared on 19 Nov 2025
Fair value Increased 1.47%Analysts have raised their price target for ORIX, increasing the estimated fair value from ¥4,166 to ¥4,227. The adjustment is based on updated outlooks for discount rates, revenue growth, and profitability metrics.
What's in the News
- ORIX revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, increasing expected net income to JPY 440,000 million from the previous guidance of JPY 380,000 million (Key Developments).
- The company expanded its share repurchase plan, raising the buyback target from 40,000,000 shares (3.52% of outstanding shares) at ¥100,000 million to 60,000,000 shares (5.4% of outstanding shares) at ¥150,000 million (Key Developments).
- ORIX announced an interim dividend of JPY 93.76 per share for the six months ended September 30, 2025. The total amount is JPY 104,883 million, with the effective date set as December 9, 2025 (Key Developments).
- Between July and September 2025, ORIX repurchased over 13.5 million shares for ¥48.7 billion and completed an earlier buyback tranche totaling 21 million shares (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target: The fair value estimate has risen slightly from ¥4,166 to ¥4,227.
- Discount Rate: The rate has decreased significantly from 8.63% to 5.42%.
- Revenue Growth: The projection has been revised downward from 5.19% to 4.13%.
- Net Profit Margin: The margin has decreased slightly from 13.77% to 13.72%.
- Future P/E: The ratio has fallen from 12.39x to 11.23x.
Disclaimer
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