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8411: Share Buybacks And Higher Dividend Will Support A Measured Outlook

8411: Share Buyback And Improved Projections Will Support Fair Value Outlook

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8411
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 05 Jan 2025

Update shared on 28 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 1.98%
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Analysts have raised their price target for Mizuho Financial Group from ¥5,232 to ¥5,335. They cite improved revenue growth projections and a slightly lower discount rate as key factors supporting the upward revision.

What's in the News

  • Mizuho Financial Group announced a second quarter dividend of ¥72.50 per share, up from ¥65.00 per share a year ago. Payment is scheduled for December 5, 2025. (Key Developments)
  • The company raised its earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. It now expects profit attributable to owners of parent to reach ¥1,130,000 million and earnings per share of ¥453.49. (Key Developments)
  • A new share repurchase program has been launched, allowing for the buyback of up to 60,000,000 shares, or 2.41% of its issued share capital, for a total of ¥200,000 million. Repurchased shares will be cancelled. The program will expire on February 28, 2026. (Key Developments)
  • The Board of Directors authorized the new buyback plan on November 14, 2025. (Key Developments)
  • Between July 1 and August 29, 2025, the company completed the repurchase of 23,909,200 shares, representing 0.95% of its share capital, for nearly ¥100,000 million under the buyback plan announced on May 15, 2025. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has increased slightly from ¥5,231.82 to ¥5,335.45.
  • Discount Rate has decreased marginally from 6.22% to 6.21%.
  • Revenue Growth projection has improved from -1.99% to -1.34%.
  • Net Profit Margin has edged down from 33.35% to 32.90%.
  • Future P/E Ratio has moved lower from 12.29x to 12.19x.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.