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8306: Buybacks And Dividend Increases Will Shape Moderate Forward Performance

Update shared on 08 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 0.037%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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35.1%
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-1.2%

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group to approximately ¥2,470, citing a lower perceived cost of equity, slightly more conservative revenue growth assumptions, a marginally higher expected profit margin, and a reduced forward P/E multiple.

What's in the News

  • Board meeting scheduled for November 14, 2025, with an agenda focused on discussing a potential common stock repurchase (company event filing)
  • Board authorizes a new share buyback plan, including the repurchase of 130,000,000 shares, or 1.14% of outstanding shares, for ¥250,000 million, with all repurchased shares to be cancelled and the program running until February 27, 2026 (company announcement)
  • Earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2026 raised, with profits attributable to owners of parent now targeted at ¥2,100 billion, up from ¥2,000 billion, driven by stronger customer business performance and higher equity-method earnings from Morgan Stanley (guidance revision)
  • Year end dividend guidance for fiscal 2026 increased from ¥35.00 to ¥39.00 per share, lifting the forecast annual dividend to ¥74.00 per share, reflecting a policy of stable, sustainable dividend growth and a target payout ratio of about 40% (dividend guidance update)
  • Dividend for the second quarter ended September 30, 2025 set at ¥35.00 per share, up from ¥25.00 a year earlier, with payment on December 5, 2025 (dividend announcement)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate increased slightly from approximately ¥2,469.09 to ¥2,470.00 per share, reflecting a marginal upward revision in intrinsic valuation.
  • Discount Rate decreased significantly from about 9.10 percent to 6.21 percent, indicating a lower assessed cost of equity and risk profile.
  • Revenue Growth Assumption edged down modestly from roughly 5.37 percent to 5.11 percent, suggesting slightly more conservative top line expectations.
  • Net Profit Margin improved marginally from about 38.96 percent to 39.11 percent, pointing to a small upgrade in long term profitability assumptions.
  • Future P/E Multiple was reduced meaningfully from approximately 13.46x to 12.28x, implying a lower valuation multiple applied to projected earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.