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Update shared on29 Jul 2025

Fair value Decreased 7.27%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
JP¥2,995.64
4.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
07 Aug
JP¥2,875.00
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1Y
9.9%
7D
5.7%

A downward revision in consensus revenue growth forecasts has led to a reduced analyst price target for Toyota Motor, now set at ¥2,969.


What's in the News


  • Toyota, Daimler Truck, Hino, and Mitsubishi Fuso concluded definitive agreements to integrate Mitsubishi Fuso and Hino, forming a new holding company (25% owned each by Daimler Truck and Toyota) to enhance competitiveness in commercial vehicles, with a focus on CASE technologies and carbon neutrality; operations are targeted for start in April 2026.
  • Toyota unveiled multiple new electrified models, including the 2026 Prius Plug-in Hybrid Nightshade Edition, 2026 RAV4 (HEV and PHEV variants with higher performance and new safety/tech suites), 2026 bZ Woodland BEV and bZ BEV with longer range and faster charging, and the 2026 C-HR BEV and updated Corolla Cross Hybrid, expanding the brand's electrification and connectivity offerings.
  • The Board approved significant amendments to corporate bylaws, transitioning from an Audit & Supervisory Board model to an Audit and Supervisory Committee, enhancing governance structure and delegating key business execution decisions.
  • Toyota announced plans for a substantial share buyback program (up to ~9.1% of issued share capital, ¥3.2 trillion budget, 20 business day offer) to enhance corporate value, and raised dividends for FY25 and the first half of FY26.
  • Strategic partnerships continued with a hydrogen-powered sauna concept in collaboration with Harvia Plc and a co-branded Land Cruiser capsule collection with Howler Brothers, reinforcing Toyota's focus on sustainability and brand engagement.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Toyota Motor

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen from ¥3231 to ¥2969.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Toyota Motor has significantly fallen from 3.3% per annum to 3.0% per annum.
  • The Future P/E for Toyota Motor has fallen from 13.45x to 12.56x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.