Update shared on 10 Nov 2025
Fair value Increased 8.50%Analysts have raised their fair value price target for Safilo Group from €1.76 to €1.91. They cite stronger margin outlooks and updated risk assessments, despite moderated revenue growth expectations.
Analyst Commentary
Recent analyst updates reflect a nuanced outlook for Safilo Group, incorporating both optimistic and cautious perspectives on the company’s future performance and valuation.
Bullish Takeaways
- Bullish analysts have raised their price targets, reflecting improved confidence in Safilo Group's margin trajectory and earnings potential.
- There is increasing emphasis on the company’s focus on higher-margin proprietary brands, supporting positive expectations for profitability expansion.
- Analysts believe the company's strategic shift toward core brands has accelerated. This could help drive a more resilient business model amid market volatility.
- Stronger execution and ongoing improvements in risk management have been cited as potential drivers for outperformance relative to prior expectations.
Bearish Takeaways
- Bearish analysts have shifted to more neutral stances, highlighting concerns that shares may be fairly valued after a significant rally since the summer.
- Some note that the near-term risk/reward profile now appears more balanced, with further upside potentially limited by moderated revenue growth expectations.
- There are suggestions that previous gains may reflect most of the anticipated improvements in margins. This could leave less room for positive surprises.
- Concerns persist regarding overall growth momentum and the sustainability of higher margins in a competitive global eyewear market.
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target (Fair Value): increased from €1.76 to €1.91, reflecting a modest upward revision.
- Discount Rate: remains broadly stable and moved only slightly from 12.15% to 12.15%.
- Revenue Growth: edged down from 2.23% to 2.09%, signaling a slightly more cautious growth outlook.
- Net Profit Margin: essentially unchanged, rising fractionally from 4.79% to 4.79%.
- Future P/E: modestly higher, rising from 20.17x to 21.96x, indicating a small increase in prospective valuation multiples.
Disclaimer
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