Update shared on04 Aug 2025
Fair value Increased 11%The upward revision in Iveco Group's fair value is primarily driven by higher projected revenue growth and a lower discount rate, resulting in the consensus analyst price target increasing from €18.04 to €19.94.
What's in the News
- Tata Motors will acquire Iveco Group N.V. from Exor (Agnelli family) for €3.8 billion ($4.4 billion), valuing shares at €14.1 each, with a full buyout and subsequent delisting from Euronext Milan.
- Iveco is demerging its defense business, which will be sold separately to Leonardo; the defense unit sale is expected to satisfy Italian government requirements for domestic control.
- The transaction is contingent on regulatory approvals, completion of the defense unit separation, and a minimum acceptance of 95% of Iveco shares (decreasing to 80% under certain EGM resolutions); closing anticipated by April 26 following regulatory clearance.
- The acquisition is backed by committed bridge financing of €3.8 billion from Morgan Stanley and MUFG, with Goldman Sachs advising Iveco and Morgan Stanley advising Tata Motors.
- DLL and Iveco established a joint venture to accelerate access to low- and zero-emission commercial vehicles in Europe, with DLL acquiring a 51% stake in GATE to expand sustainable mobility rental solutions.
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for Iveco Group
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target has significantly risen from €18.04 to €19.94.
- The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Iveco Group has significantly risen from 4.4% per annum to 5.1% per annum.
- The Discount Rate for Iveco Group has significantly fallen from 14.72% to 12.79%.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.