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BMPS: Upward Momentum Will Continue With Potential Mediobanca Bid Increase

Update shared on 24 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 2.50%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
48.8%
7D
3.2%

Analysts have raised their price target for Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena from €9.52 to €9.76, citing slightly improved revenue growth forecasts and a lower discount rate. This comes despite more conservative expectations for profit margins and future earnings multiples.

What's in the News

  • Banca Monte dei Paschi called a board meeting to discuss potentially raising its $18 billion bid for Mediobanca and may add a cash component to the offer (Bloomberg).
  • Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena S.p.A. added to S&P EUROPE 350 Banks (Industry Group).
  • Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena S.p.A. added to S&P EUROPE 350 Financials (Sector).
  • Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena S.p.A. added to S&P EUROPE 350.
  • Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena S.p.A. added to S&P Global 1200 and S&P International 700.

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value estimate increased slightly from €9.52 to €9.76.
  • The Discount Rate decreased from 11.16% to 10.98%.
  • The Revenue Growth forecast edged up from 32.76% to 33.16%.
  • The Net Profit Margin estimate declined from 36.34% to 34.42%.
  • The future P/E multiple rose significantly from 5.27x to 7.22x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.