Update shared on 14 Dec 2025
Fair value Decreased 15%Analysts have trimmed their price target on Ferrari to approximately $466 per share, down from about $545. They cited slightly lower expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples that still support a premium but a less aggressive long term outlook.
What's in the News
- Ferrari announced a long term global partnership with S.Pellegrino, aligning their Italian heritage and premium lifestyle positioning across Formula 1 and Ferrari Challenge activities, with co branded product collaborations and global experiential events planned (Client Announcements).
- Ferrari renewed and strengthened its multi year partnership with Philip Morris International, which will become a Premium Partner of Scuderia Ferrari HP and Series Partner of the Ferrari Challenge Trofeo Pirelli starting in 2026 (Client Announcements).
- Ferrari completed a tranche of its share repurchase, buying back 648,406 shares for €258 million. This brings total repurchases under the June 2022 program to 5,624,556 shares for about €1.88 billion, or 3.12% of shares (Buyback Tranche Update).
- The Board authorized a new share repurchase program of up to €3.5 billion and approved a related buyback plan on October 9, 2025, indicating a continued focus on returning capital to shareholders (Buyback Transaction Announcements).
- Ferrari raised its 2025 revenue guidance to at least €7.1 billion and issued 2030 targets of around €9.0 billion in revenue and at least 30% EBIT margin, supported by a richer product mix, personalization, and growing Racing and Lifestyle contributions (Corporate Guidance).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate was reduced from approximately $545.09 to $466.00 per share, representing a meaningful downward revision in the intrinsic value assessment.
- The Discount Rate was lowered slightly from about 14.97 percent to 14.40 percent, reflecting a modestly lower perceived risk or cost of capital.
- Expected Revenue Growth was trimmed from 10.32 percent annually to about 9.15 percent, indicating a moderate reduction in long term growth assumptions.
- The Net Profit Margin eased from roughly 23.96 percent to 23.35 percent, implying slightly lower long run profitability expectations.
- The assumed Future P/E was reduced from about 64.41x to 56.46x, signaling a less aggressive multiple assumption while still embedding a premium valuation.
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