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LICI: Future Government Stake Sale Will Unlock Undervalued Upside Potential

Update shared on 27 Apr 2026

Fair value Decreased 2.94%
13 May
₹399.90
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
₹1,045.54
61.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
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1Y
-16.7%
7D
-2.8%

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Life Insurance Corporation of India from about ₹1,080.39 to roughly ₹1,048.58, reflecting updated views on the stock’s appropriate P/E multiple while keeping key fundamental assumptions broadly unchanged.

What's in the News

  • A board meeting is scheduled for February 5, 2026 to consider and approve unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter and nine months ended December 31, 2025 (company filing).
  • A board meeting is set for April 13, 2026 at 16:00 IST to consider issuing bonus equity shares in a 1:1 ratio by capitalizing up to ₹63,249,977,010 from reserves and surplus as of December 31, 2025, subject to shareholder approval (company filing).
  • A special or extraordinary shareholders meeting is planned via postal ballot in India on May 17, 2026, linked to approvals required from members of the corporation (company filing).
  • The government is considering a further reduction of its 96.5% stake in LIC through a public offering in the next financial year to move toward the mandated 10% public shareholding by May 2027, with the quantum, price, and timing of any stake sale to be decided later (government statement reported February 2, 2026).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: Revised from about ₹1,080.39 to roughly ₹1,048.58, indicating a modest reduction in the estimated intrinsic value per share.
  • Discount Rate: Held steady at 12.484%, so the required return used in the valuation has not changed.
  • Revenue Growth: Kept effectively unchanged at around 9.33%, so projected top line growth assumptions remain consistent.
  • Net Profit Margin: Maintained at about 4.87%, reflecting no material adjustment to profitability assumptions.
  • Future P/E: Trimmed from about 22.94x to roughly 22.26x, indicating a slightly lower valuation multiple applied to expected earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.