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HGINFRA: Upcoming Metro And Road Wins Will Drive Fresh Momentum

Government Investment And Renewable Energy Will Unlock Infrastructure Potential

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HGINFRA
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 19 Jan 2025

Update shared on 03 Dec 2025

Fair value Decreased 4.31%
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Narrative Update: H.G. Infra Engineering Analyst Price Target Revision

The analyst price target for H.G. Infra Engineering has been revised slightly lower from ₹1,416 to ₹1,355, as analysts factor in a higher discount rate and marginally softer profit margin expectations, despite stronger projected revenue growth and a modestly higher future P/E multiple.

What's in the News

  • H.G. Infra Engineering, in joint venture with Kalpataru Projects International, emerged as L1 bidder for a 20.5 km elevated metro viaduct package under the Thane Integral Ring Metro project, an EPC contract with an estimated value of about INR 14,240 million and a 36 month construction period (company announcement).
  • The company secured an infrastructure contract from DLF Cyber City Developers for access road network works at the DLF Downtown, Phase 2 project in Gurugram, Haryana, with a construction cost of approximately INR 2,741.1 million and a planned execution period of 548 days, excluding applicable taxes (company announcement).
  • H.G. Infra Engineering scheduled a board meeting on November 12, 2025 to consider and approve unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter and half year ended September 30, 2025 (company filing).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: Reduced slightly from ₹1,416.14 to ₹1,355.14, reflecting a modest downgrade in the intrinsic value estimate.
  • Discount Rate: Increased moderately from 18.02% to 19.23%, indicating a higher required return or perceived risk.
  • Revenue Growth: Raised slightly from 21.66% to 23.37%, incorporating a more optimistic outlook on top line expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin: Trimmed marginally from 8.47% to 8.28%, signaling slightly lower profitability expectations.
  • Future P/E: Edged up from 19.19x to 19.46x, implying a small increase in the valuation multiple applied to future earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.