Update shared on 18 Dec 2025
Fair value Increased 11%Analysts have raised their price target on Cathay Pacific Airways to HK$9.10 from HK$8.20, citing slightly stronger long term revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower discount rate, and a marginally higher future earnings multiple that together offset a largely unchanged profit margin outlook.
What's in the News
- Board meeting scheduled for March 11, 2026, to announce annual results for the year ending December 31, 2025, and to consider a second interim dividend in lieu of a final dividend for 2025 (Key Developments)
- Board of Directors to consider launching a share repurchase program, under which the company would buy back its own shares, as announced on November 7, 2025 (Key Developments)
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value has risen slightly, with the analyst target increasing from HK$8.20 to HK$9.10 per share.
- Discount Rate has fallen modestly, moving from 10.58 percent to about 10.09 percent, which supports a higher present value of future cash flows.
- Revenue Growth assumptions have increased slightly, from roughly 2.92 percent to about 3.28 percent per year.
- Net Profit Margin expectations are essentially unchanged, edging down from about 5.61 percent to about 5.59 percent.
- Future P/E multiple has risen modestly, from roughly 11.10x expected earnings to about 11.64x.
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