Update shared on 16 Dec 2025
Fair value Increased 0.33%Analysts have nudged their price target on Geely Automobile Holdings slightly higher to HKD 34.55 from HKD 34.44, citing a lower discount rate, a marginally stronger profit margin outlook, and a modestly reduced future P E multiple despite slightly softer revenue growth expectations.
What's in the News
- Geely has convened a board meeting for November 17, 2025, to review and approve unaudited results for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, and address other corporate matters (Key Developments).
- A special or extraordinary shareholders meeting is scheduled for December 18, 2025, in Hong Kong, where investors are expected to vote on key corporate resolutions (Key Developments).
- On September 24, 2025, Geely and a broad group of related automotive and technology affiliates entered a three year R&D Services and Technology Licensing Agreement that replaces the prior arrangement, significantly expanding cross group R&D and licensing activities (Key Developments).
- The new R&D agreement sets proposed annual caps for R&D and licensing fees receivable by Geely of roughly RMB 10.9 billion, RMB 12.5 billion, and RMB 13.5 billion for 2025 to 2027, with corresponding payable caps of about RMB 6.0 billion, RMB 4.9 billion, and RMB 5.3 billion (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate increased slightly to HK$34.55 from HK$34.44, reflecting a modest upward revision in the intrinsic valuation.
- Discount Rate declined moderately to 10.97 percent from 11.42 percent, implying a lower required return and reduced perceived risk.
- Revenue Growth was trimmed slightly to 33.25 percent from 34.69 percent, indicating a more cautious top line outlook.
- Net Profit Margin edged up marginally to 4.69 percent from 4.68 percent, signaling a small improvement in expected profitability.
- Future P/E was reduced to 13.42x from 14.40x, suggesting a somewhat more conservative multiple applied to forward earnings.
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