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High risk technology investment with decreasing discount

Published
10 Jan 26
Views
2
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John160's Fair Value
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1Y
42.1%
7D
-6.3%

Author's Valuation

UK£8.49k99.9% undervalued intrinsic discount

John160's Fair Value

High risk technology VCT that appears to be well managed to select good companies leading to successful realisations. Climate for these has been improving in the last year making me doubt the historical declining revenue growth.

What I like about this trust is the dedicated team and that distribution is via share buybacks to increase capital value from realisations rather than the usual VCT method of destroying value by capital and income redistributions. What I dont like is the almost static asset value in the last year. Most of the share price increase has been narrowing of the discount through buybacks in addition to investor interest and publicity.

However the discount has narrowed to 30% and I would question how much more there is to go if buyer interest wanes or there is a USA tech sell off this year. Perhaps another 10% narrowing plus any capital uplift due future realisations.

Allowing for the present positive momentum on the shares, I am setting my price target at about 570p., depending on the news flow in the next few months.

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Disclaimer

The user John160 holds no position in LSE:GROW. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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UK£6.34
FV
25.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
2.59%
Revenue growth p.a.
44
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