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VIE: Earnings Resilience Will Drive Moderate Upside Despite Fewer Near-Term Catalysts

Update shared on 10 Nov 2025

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Veolia Environnement's analyst price target has been revised downward from €35.07 to €34.87, as analysts cite limited near-term catalysts for earnings upgrades. This comes despite ongoing earnings resilience.

Analyst Commentary

Recent updates from major financial institutions provide a closer look at current sentiment around Veolia Environnement. Views are mixed, reflecting both continued confidence in the company’s stable earnings profile and some caution due to limited near-term growth drivers.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Analysts note Veolia’s sustained earnings resilience. They highlight that the company's financial performance remains robust even amidst broader sector uncertainties.
  • Certain business segments are seen as undervalued. Analysts see opportunities for a higher valuation multiple compared to peers in European utilities.
  • Even after recent revisions, analysts still see around 10% potential upside for shares. This suggests room for moderate appreciation over the coming months.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Analysts observe limited near-term catalysts for upward earnings revisions. This may keep investor sentiment subdued for now.
  • The upcoming period may lack meaningful re-rating triggers. As a result, Veolia shares could underperform compared to other European utility names.
  • Despite confidence in earnings resilience, there is caution that upside may be constrained without clear drivers for renewed growth or margin expansion.

What's in the News

  • Veolia confirmed 2025 earnings guidance, forecasting approximately 9% growth in current net income group share before Suez PPA at constant forex and solid organic revenue growth (Key Developments).
  • The company was awarded a major operation and maintenance contract for the Aguas Pacifico desalination plant in Chile, marking its leadership in sustainable water management. The four-year contract is extendable to 2040 and focuses on renewable energies and drought relief (Key Developments).
  • Veolia entered a 10-year agreement to continue operating the Holyoke, Massachusetts wastewater treatment plant, introducing digital and AI-enabled technologies to improve efficiency and environmental standards (Key Developments).
  • TotalEnergies and Veolia signed a memorandum of understanding to enhance cooperation on reducing methane emissions, lowering water footprints, expanding sustainable desalination, and developing recovery solutions for strategic resources from waste (Key Developments).
  • Veolia opened its first North American Hubgrade Center, using real-time data and AI to support water and wastewater facilities, with plans to serve 27 municipal partners by the end of 2025 (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased slightly from €35.07 to €34.87.
  • The Discount Rate has risen from 5.98% to 6.41%.
  • Revenue Growth projections have fallen modestly, from 4.91% to 4.63%.
  • Net Profit Margin has edged higher, moving from 3.60% to 3.66%.
  • Future P/E ratio has increased slightly, from 16.19x to 16.43x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.