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RUI: Future Profit Margins Are Expected To Outweigh Corsican Regulatory Headwinds

African Urbanization And Renewables Will Drive Enduring Value Amid Risks

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RUI
AnalystHighTarget
Not Invested
Published 24 Jul 2025

Update shared on 20 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 0.80%
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AnalystHighTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
39.0%
7D
0.1%

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Rubis from €46.54 to €46.91, citing a modest improvement in expected profit margins that more than offsets slightly lower projected revenue growth and a higher discount rate.

What's in the News

  • The French Competition Authority has issued an enforceable decision imposing total industry fines of €187.49 million over alleged anti competitive fuel practices in Corsica between 2016 and 2022, with Rubis SCA and subsidiaries facing €64.67 million in penalties (French Competition Authority)
  • Rubis states it is appalled by the decision, arguing that the findings do not reflect actual facts and firmly denying the anti competitive practices alleged by the Authority (company statement)
  • The Group emphasizes its longstanding role in ensuring reliable and competitive fuel supply for Corsican consumers and reiterates its commitment to strict compliance with competition and other applicable regulations (company statement)
  • Rubis is closely reviewing the Authority’s decision and plans to file an appeal before the Paris Court of Appeal, which signals a potentially lengthy legal process ahead (company statement)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly from €46.54 to €46.91 per share, reflecting a modest upward revision in intrinsic value.
  • The Discount Rate has increased slightly from 5.98 percent to 6.22 percent, indicating a marginally higher perceived risk or required return.
  • Revenue Growth has eased moderately from 6.91 percent to 6.39 percent, pointing to slightly softer top line expectations.
  • The Net Profit Margin has improved slightly from 4.58 percent to 4.66 percent, suggesting modestly better profitability assumptions.
  • The Future P/E has inched up marginally from 15.64x to 15.67x, implying a nearly unchanged valuation multiple on forecast earnings.

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