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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for VK

Update shared on 16 Oct 2025

Fair value Decreased 3.38%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
8.3%
7D
-0.09%

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Vallourec from €21.04 to €20.33, citing a modestly improved revenue growth outlook but a small decrease in anticipated profit margins.

Analyst Commentary

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts have raised their price targets for Vallourec, reflecting modest confidence in the company’s near-term trajectory.
  • Improved revenue growth outlook underpins a generally positive sentiment regarding Vallourec’s expansion prospects.
  • Solid demand in Vallourec’s key markets continues to support a stable valuation. Growth opportunities are seen as achievable.
  • Price target adjustments signal constructive views on execution and potential for further incremental gains in operational performance.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Lingering caution remains due to a marginal decrease in anticipated profit margins, keeping upward revisions modest.
  • Certain analysts prefer to maintain neutral stances. They suggest that competitive pressures and costs could limit substantial upside.
  • Execution risks are noted, with some skepticism regarding the sustainability of revenue improvements over the medium term.

What's in the News

  • Vallourec secured a major long-term contract with Petrobras to supply Oil Country Tubular Goods (OCTG) products and services for offshore operations from 2026 to 2029. This agreement could potentially generate up to USD 1 billion in revenue (Key Developments).
  • Petrobras awarded Vallourec a new order for SUBMAGNETICO FREE FLOW, an innovative OCTG solution that reduces inorganic scaling in production strings. This technology will be deployed in Brazil's offshore pre-salt fields (Key Developments).
  • Vallourec commenced a share repurchase program authorizing buybacks of up to 22.8 million shares. The initial phase covers 1.2 million shares targeted for employee incentive plans (Key Developments).
  • The company signed an exclusive sale agreement with VINCI Immobilier for its Deville-les-Rouen site. The goal is to transform the site into a business hub and create up to 300 jobs, while dedicating 25% of the area to new green spaces (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased modestly from €21.04 to €20.33.
  • Discount Rate has edged lower from 7.29% to 7.12%, which reflects slightly reduced risk assumptions.
  • Revenue Growth outlook has improved marginally, moving from 4.81% to 4.99%.
  • Net Profit Margin estimate has been revised downward from 13.85% to 13.33%.
  • Future P/E ratio forecast decreased fractionally from 11.32x to 11.26x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.