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AMUN: Distribution Partnerships And Earnings Resilience Will Define Near-Term Performance

Update shared on 27 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 0.81%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
11.9%
7D
4.2%

Amundi's analyst price target was raised modestly from EUR 73.21 to EUR 73.80. This reflects analysts' continued confidence in the company's outlook despite recent sector volatility and mixed target adjustments across the Street.

Analyst Commentary

Recent Street research highlights a split in sentiment regarding Amundi’s performance outlook, with both upward and downward price target revisions reflecting diverging analyst perspectives. These adjustments are closely tied to Amundi’s operational execution, valuation benchmarks, and growth prospects amid market developments.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts have notably increased price targets in recent weeks, some moving above EUR 80. This signals positive expectations for Amundi’s earnings and business trajectory.
  • Multiple price target increases suggest that some in the market believe Amundi’s fundamentals remain solid, justified by strong underlying growth metrics and resilience compared to sector peers.
  • The prevailing Buy and Equal Weight ratings, even as targets move higher, reflect confidence in management’s ability to execute and weather sector volatility.
  • Continued upward adjustments by major banks highlight ongoing trust in Amundi’s long-term value creation, despite temporary uncertainties.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts have cut targets as low as EUR 63, primarily citing concerns about key partnerships, including uncertainty around the UniCredit distribution agreement.
  • Downgrades and Neutral ratings by leading banks point to caution regarding growth momentum and the potential impact of sector headwinds.
  • The reduction in price targets reflects wariness over Amundi’s ability to sustain recent performance if sector volatility persists.
  • Some analysts see downside risk to valuation, referencing mixed performance on strategic agreements and variable market demand.

What's in the News

  • Amundi S.A. sets financial targets for 2028, aiming for earnings per share of more than EUR 7 (Key Developments).
  • Announces strategic partnership with ICG, including a 10-year global wealth channel distribution arrangement and the acquisition of a 9.9% economic stake in ICG (Key Developments).
  • Reaches agreement in principle with Societe Generale to renew a five-year distribution and securities services partnership, which is pending regulatory approvals (Key Developments).
  • Board meeting is scheduled for October 27, 2025, to review third quarter and nine-month 2025 financial statements (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: Increased slightly from €73.21 to €73.80, reflecting updated analyst assessments.
  • Discount Rate: Decreased modestly from 11.56% to 11.34%, suggesting a slightly lower perceived risk or cost of capital.
  • Revenue Growth: Declined from -18.77% to -19.21%, indicating a marginally larger contraction in anticipated revenue.
  • Net Profit Margin: Edged down from 38.64% to 38.30%, reflecting a small decrease in expected profitability.
  • Future P/E: Increased from 14.78x to 15.19x, pointing to higher forward earnings multiples applied by analysts.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.