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Update shared on08 Oct 2025

Fair value Decreased 1.72%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
€65.51
20.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
08 Oct
€52.00
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1Y
-31.3%
7D
-2.7%

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Sodexo from €61 to €59, citing minor adjustments in fair value and outlook metrics.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analysis reflects a nuanced view of Sodexo’s prospects, with opinions split between optimism regarding the company’s fundamentals and caution linked to valuation and execution risks.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts point to the company’s consistent performance in core markets, which is seen as supportive of long-term revenue stability.
  • Expectations remain for gradual improvement in operating margins as management executes ongoing efficiency initiatives.
  • The company’s diversified portfolio continues to provide defense against sector-specific volatility and contributes to valuation support.
  • Bullish perspectives highlight the potential for opportunistic growth through selective contract wins and expansion in new segments.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Some analysts express caution about the pace of margin recovery, noting that competitive pressures could slow near-term progress.
  • Slight downward revisions in price targets point to uncertainty regarding the company’s ability to achieve its full earnings potential in the current environment.
  • There is increased scrutiny over execution risks associated with recent structural adjustments and strategic investments.
  • Macroeconomic headwinds, including inflationary pressures, remain a notable concern for delivery on growth targets.

What's in the News

  • Sodexo's Board of Directors announced Thierry Delaporte as the next Group Chief Executive Officer, effective November 10, 2025. Delaporte brings extensive international leadership and transformation experience from his previous roles at Capgemini and Wipro Ltd. (Key Developments)
  • Sodexo and Shell have renewed their partnership for another five years. This agreement covers 41 sites across 19 countries. Sodexo will continue managing a full suite of workplace services, including 6,000 meals served daily and enhanced IT-enabled service monitoring. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has decreased slightly from €66.65 to €65.51, reflecting an updated appraisal of long-term business prospects.
  • Discount Rate has fallen modestly from 10.03% to 9.81%, indicating a marginal reduction in perceived risk or required return.
  • Revenue Growth Projection has edged lower from 2.27% to 2.18%, suggesting slightly more conservative expectations for top-line expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin Forecast has dropped subtly from 3.21% to 3.20%, pointing to a minimally softer outlook for profitability.
  • Future P/E Ratio has declined marginally from 15.49x to 15.37x, signaling a slight adjustment to forward earnings multiples.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.