Update shared on20 Sep 2025
Fair value Decreased 1.31%Thales' consensus analyst price target saw a slight downward revision to €275.56 as bullish drivers such as strong defense sector demand and order visibility were partially offset by valuation concerns, though the overall outlook remains broadly positive.
Analyst Commentary
- Bullish analysts cite robust rearmament cycles and elevated defense sector demand as key drivers for higher price targets.
- Several analysts have raised price targets in light of strong order backlogs and improved forward visibility for Thales and its sector peers.
- Some upward revisions are attributed to sector-wide momentum and Thales’ strategic importance within European defense.
- Bearish analysts highlight concerns over Thales’ elevated stock valuation relative to sector peers, advocating a more selective approach.
- Minor downward adjustment from bearish analysts reflects cautious sentiment but does not materially alter the overall positive outlook from the majority.
What's in the News
- Thales, along with Leonardo and Airbus, may reach an initial agreement to merge their satellite businesses by the end of the year, signaling major consolidation within the European aerospace and defense sector (Reuters).
- Thales and Huntington Ingalls Industries successfully integrated Thales’ SAMDIS 600 sonar with HII’s REMUS 620 unmanned underwater vehicle, advancing autonomous mine detection technology for naval and subsea security applications (Key Developments).
- Thales raised its 2025 organic sales growth guidance to 6–7% (previously 5–6%), targeting revenue between €21.8 and €22.0 billion (Key Developments).
- Thales achieved GSMA eSIM Security Assurance certification for its eSIM solution, strengthening its position as a trusted partner in secure, large-scale IoT connectivity deployments across industries including healthcare and automotive (Key Developments).
- Thales expanded the Imperva Application Security platform with new real-time detection and automated mitigation capabilities for business logic and API attacks, addressing the increasing prevalence of threats targeting enterprise APIs (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for Thales
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from €279.21 to €275.56.
- The Net Profit Margin for Thales remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 8.14% to 8.06%.
- The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Thales remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 7.5% per annum to 7.6% per annum.
Disclaimer
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