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AIR: Order Wins And Production Expansion Will Support Balanced Outlook Amid Execution Risks

Update shared on 17 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 1.24%
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Analysts have raised their price target for Airbus from €221.65 to €224.40, citing continued revenue growth, improved profit margins, and strong quarterly results as key factors supporting the modest upward revision.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst updates on Airbus reflect a balance of optimism around execution and growth, along with some caution regarding valuation and strategic headwinds.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts raised price targets, some as high as EUR 240, citing consistent revenue growth, improved profit margins, and robust quarterly performance.
  • Recent quarterly results outpaced expectations, with total revenues rising by 14% and solid adjusted EBIT margins. This reinforces confidence in management's ability to deliver on guidance.
  • Strong free cash flow generation and reaffirmed fiscal year targets support a positive outlook on long-term value creation for shareholders.
  • Visibility into multi-year replacement demand gives Airbus a favorable outlook extending through at least 2030, strengthening conviction among optimistic analysts.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts have shifted to a more neutral stance, flagging potential valuation concerns following share gains and tempered growth assumptions.
  • The inclusion of additional tariff costs in the company's 2025 guidance and headwinds of up to EUR 200 million serve as reminders of execution risks ahead.
  • Delivery targets, while reiterated, are seen by some as ambitious, especially if market or production disruptions occur.
  • Upgrades to price targets are occasionally paired with less favorable ratings, which highlights a belief that significant upside may already be priced in.

What's in the News

  • Airbus is set to win a major order from flydubai, edging out Boeing for a contract to supply 100 A321neo jets at the Dubai Airshow (Reuters).
  • Germany's parliament plans to purchase 20 light combat helicopters from Airbus as part of a EUR 3 billion defense ramp-up (Bloomberg).
  • Pratt & Whitney is in discussions with Airbus to secure engine supplies for increased aircraft production. Plans to boost output to 75 jets per month require further coordination (Reuters).
  • Wizz Air is negotiating with Airbus to defer deliveries of around 100 aircraft into the next decade as it adjusts its fleet strategy for long-term growth (Bloomberg).
  • Airbus has opened a second assembly line for its A320neo family in China, expanding its global manufacturing capacity. Full operation is expected by early 2026 (Reuters).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from €221.65 to €224.40. This reflects improved confidence in the company's fundamentals.
  • Discount Rate has fallen modestly from 6.23% to 6.10%, which signals a small decrease in perceived risk or cost of capital.
  • Revenue Growth projections have decreased slightly from 12.58% to 12.40%. This suggests a marginally less aggressive outlook for expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin is updated upward from 8.30% to 8.34%, pointing to expectations for slightly better profitability.
  • Future P/E ratio has increased from 24.44x to 24.86x, indicating a modestly higher valuation multiple on future earnings.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.