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Update shared on04 Aug 2025

Fair value Decreased 5.54%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
€3.44
4.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
08 Aug
€3.27
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1Y
-46.4%
7D
9.0%

The downward revision in Metsä Board Oyj’s consensus analyst price target primarily reflects lower revenue growth expectations and a slight increase in future P/E multiples, resulting in a reduced fair value estimate from €3.64 to €3.44 per share.


What's in the News


  • Metsä Board issued new earnings guidance, estimating an operating result of approximately EUR -25 million for April-June 2025 due to weak pulp demand in Europe and China and uncertainty from U.S. import tariffs; paperboard production has been adjusted downward and delivery volumes slightly decreased.
  • Production at the Tako board mill was shut down as part of a profitability improvement plan, with product transfer to the Kyro mill and supportive measures for re-employment of affected staff; dismantling of equipment will proceed through 2026.
  • A EUR 60 million investment at the Simpele mill will introduce a new coating line in October 2025, enhancing print quality and increasing fossil-free energy use to 98% by end-2025, supporting long-term sustainability goals.
  • Jussi Vanhanen appointed CEO of Metsä Group effective 1 July 2025 and will become Chair of the nomination and HR committee; Jussi Linnanranta remains Vice Chair.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Metsä Board Oyj

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen from €3.64 to €3.44.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Metsä Board Oyj has fallen from 4.5% per annum to 4.2% per annum.
  • The Future P/E for Metsä Board Oyj has risen slightly from 14.21x to 14.56x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.