Update shared on 29 Oct 2025
Fair value Decreased 0.13%Narrative Update on Sampo Oyj
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Sampo Oyj, raising it by EUR 0.10 to EUR 9.54. This adjustment reflects cautious optimism supported by steady financial forecasts.
Analyst Commentary
Bullish Takeaways
- Bullish analysts note the slight increase in price target as a reflection of stable financial performance and consistent execution.
- The revised valuation suggests ongoing confidence in Sampo Oyj's ability to deliver predictable results, supported by resilient market fundamentals.
- Steady earnings outlook and reliable operational management provide comfort for investors seeking defensive holdings in the sector.
- Positive sentiment is also attributed to Sampo Oyj's balanced approach in navigating recent market challenges without significant downside risk.
Bearish Takeaways
- Bearish analysts maintain a cautious stance, with only a marginal price target adjustment signaling limited upside potential for the shares.
- Concerns remain over moderate growth prospects, as valuation revisions are incremental rather than indicative of strong momentum.
- There is a prevailing view that the current rating remains appropriate due to the lack of significant catalysts for accelerated earnings or expansion.
- Macro uncertainties and sector-wide headwinds could continue to cap near-term share performance despite incremental positive revisions.
What's in the News
- Sampo Group CFO, Knut Arne Alsaker, will resign effective March 31, 2026. He will transition to an advisory role until December 31, 2026. Lars Kufall Beck, current COO of If P&C, has been named successor and will join the Group Executive Committee on April 1, 2026. (Key Developments)
- Sampo Oyj commenced a share repurchase program on August 7, 2025, planning to buy back up to 30,000,000 shares for €200 million, representing 1% of issued share capital. All repurchased shares will be cancelled. (Key Developments)
- The company increased its 2025 earnings guidance, with projected insurance revenue now expected at EUR 8.9-9.1 billion, reflecting 6% to 9% year-on-year growth. (Key Developments)
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value has decreased marginally, moving from €10.30 to €10.28 per share.
- Discount Rate remains unchanged at 5.49%.
- Revenue Growth estimate is unchanged at 2.84%.
- Net Profit Margin remains steady at 14.76%.
- Future P/E ratio has declined slightly, from 20.31x to 20.29x.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.