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METSO: Earnings Momentum And Business Execution Will Drive Measured Upside Potential

Update shared on 06 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 9.89%
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Metso Oyj's analyst price target has risen from €12.61 to €13.85, as analysts highlight strengthening business momentum, an improved earnings outlook, and positive company updates in recent research.

Analyst Commentary

Recent Street research highlights a shift in sentiment around Metso Oyj, with several bullish and cautious perspectives emerging from the latest analyst activity.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts have raised price targets significantly, with some moves exceeding previous estimates by more than EUR 2. This reflects improving business execution and confidence in growth prospects.
  • Upgrades from Hold to Buy signal increased conviction in Metso's direction. There is optimism about both of the company’s business segments inflecting higher.
  • Strong third-quarter results, particularly a notable improvement in Mining adjusted EBITDA margin, have boosted confidence in near-term financial performance and operational efficiency.
  • Management's bold comments on imminent large order wins have further reinforced analysts' expectations of robust demand and further upside potential.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Some bearish analysts have maintained Neutral or Hold ratings despite raising price targets. This indicates lingering concerns about valuation after the recent upward momentum.
  • Elevated share price following recent analyst upgrades may limit immediate further upside. Expectations for execution and margin improvements are now priced in.
  • At least one analyst has reiterated an Underweight view, pointing to risks that could impact the company's ability to meet heightened growth and profitability expectations.

What's in the News

  • Metso Corporation has set new financial targets to be achieved by the end of 2028. The company expects annual sales growth (CAGR) of at least 7 percent (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from €12.61 to €13.85, reflecting improved business outlook.
  • Discount Rate has decreased slightly from 7.21 percent to 7.18 percent, indicating a marginally lower perceived risk.
  • Revenue Growth projections have increased from 6.76 percent to 7.74 percent, signaling higher anticipated sales expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin expectations have edged up from 11.70 percent to 11.87 percent, suggesting improved profitability forecasts.
  • Future P/E ratio has risen from 18.77x to 19.29x, which points to a higher valuation multiple for expected earnings.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.