Update shared on 27 Nov 2025
Fair value Decreased 0.62%The analyst price target for BASF was revised slightly downward from €48.33 to €48.03, as analysts cite incrementally softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, despite positive views on the company's recent business developments.
Analyst Commentary
Recent analyst research reflects a mix of optimism and caution regarding BASF’s future performance. Market participants have highlighted several factors influencing their ratings and price targets.
Bullish Takeaways- Bullish analysts expect an inflection in European chemical demand in 2026. They see BASF as positioned to benefit more than its peers due to its substantial market exposure.
- Recent business moves, such as successful divestitures, are viewed as exceeding expectations and contributing positively to near-term valuation.
- Upgrades in price targets suggest renewed confidence in BASF’s ability to execute strategic initiatives and respond to shifting industry dynamics.
- The overall sentiment is that current market pricing does not fully reflect anticipated improvements in demand and profitability.
- Bearish analysts remain cautious due to incrementally softer revenue growth and concerns about compressed profit margins. These factors are influencing more reserved price targets.
- There are ongoing questions about BASF’s ability to sustain operational execution in the face of potential market headwinds and slower recovery in core segments.
- Competitive pressures, both regionally and globally, could limit BASF’s ability to outpace industry peers in the medium term.
- Macro-economic uncertainties and evolving regulatory environments are viewed as risks that warrant a measured outlook on growth projections.
What's in the News
- Citi analyst Sebastian Satz resumed coverage of BASF with a Buy rating and set a EUR 52 price target. The analyst cited the coatings sale price as being ahead of expectations (Citi).
- Carlyle is reportedly close to reaching a EUR 7 billion deal to acquire BASF's coatings business. Carlyle has outbid other private capital groups and entered exclusive talks with BASF (Financial Times).
- US import tariffs imposed during Trump's administration are posing challenges for European chemical companies, including BASF. These tariffs are leading to order delays and uncertainty in the market (Reuters).
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased marginally, moving from €48.33 to €48.03.
- Discount Rate has edged down slightly, declining from 6.29% to 6.26%.
- Revenue Growth projections have softened, with estimates adjusting from 1.46% to 1.46%.
- Net Profit Margin forecasts show a minor reduction, slipping from 4.45% to 4.44%.
- Future P/E ratio expectation has also eased, shifting from 17.31x to 17.23x.
Disclaimer
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