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SGL: Stable Performance Expected Despite Higher Risk and Index Removal

Update shared on 12 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 12%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-41.0%
7D
-9.7%

Analysts have lowered their price target for SGL Carbon from €3.80 to €3.33, citing a more cautious outlook as a result of weaker projected revenue growth and profit margins.

Analyst Commentary

Recent research updates highlight a more cautious attitude toward SGL Carbon, with analysts indicating a reevaluation of the company's short- and medium-term prospects. The consensus reflects a balance of watchful optimism and heightened concern about execution risks and market fundamentals.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts acknowledge SGL Carbon’s established position in its sector, which provides a level of predictability in its revenue streams.
  • Resilience in holding ratings, even amid target price reductions, signals a belief in the company's capacity to deliver stable performance through near-term headwinds.
  • Some forecasts emphasize SGL Carbon's ability to maintain operational efficiency, mitigating the impact of weaker growth projections.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts point to successive downward revisions in price targets, suggesting concerns about the company’s ability to deliver top-line growth in line with earlier expectations.
  • Profit margins are under pressure, raising questions about management’s execution abilities in a less favorable market environment.
  • A cautious outlook prevails regarding SGL Carbon’s capacity to translate existing market opportunities into sustained earnings improvements.
  • Ongoing Hold ratings, rather than upgrades, reflect continued skepticism around immediate catalysts or significant upside potential.

What's in the News

  • SGL Carbon SE has been removed from the Germany SDAX (Total Return) Index (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate: reduced from €3.80 to €3.33, reflecting a more conservative appraisal.
  • Discount Rate: increased from 8.04 percent to 8.95 percent, indicating a higher perceived risk profile.
  • Revenue Growth: changed from a projected increase of 0.22 percent to a decline of -1.46 percent, representing a significant downward revision.
  • Net Profit Margin: decreased from 9.92 percent to 5.81 percent, suggesting profitability concerns.
  • Future P/E Ratio: increased from 7.60x to 13.10x, indicating a less favorable earnings outlook or higher expected valuation relative to earnings.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.