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601166: Higher Required Return Is Expected To Unlock Upside Potential

Update shared on 12 Dec 2025

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AnalystHighTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
11.2%
7D
-1.4%

Analysts have raised their price target on Industrial Bank to $30.50 from $30.50, effectively reiterating their prior valuation as they balance a higher assumed discount rate and slightly softer long term growth and margin expectations against a richer future earnings multiple.

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: unchanged at CN¥30.50, indicating no net revision to the intrinsic value estimate.
  • Discount Rate: risen significantly from 8.51 percent to 12.12 percent. This reflects a higher required return on equity risk.
  • Revenue Growth: eased slightly from 20.58 percent to 20.04 percent, suggesting a modestly more conservative top line outlook.
  • Net Profit Margin: edged down from 34.04 percent to 33.42 percent, implying slightly lower long term profitability assumptions.
  • Future P/E: increased meaningfully from 9.15x to 10.84x. This signals a higher expected valuation multiple on forward earnings.

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