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CMPC: Long Term Margins Will Drive Future Upside Despite Modest Multiple Cut

CMPC: Future Pulp Expansion And Steady Margins Will Drive Global Opportunity

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CMPC
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 07 Sep 2025

Update shared on 13 Dec 2025

Fair value Decreased 3.55%
Previous
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-4.7%
7D
6.1%

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Empresas CMPC, trimming fair value by approximately CLP 62 to reflect slightly lower long term margin expectations, partly offset by a marginally stronger revenue growth outlook and a small decrease in the assumed discount rate and future P E multiple.

What's in the News

  • Board meeting scheduled for November 6, 2025, to review, approve, and release interim consolidated financial statements to regulators and the market (Key Developments)
  • Upcoming Analyst and Investor Day planned by Empresas CMPC, signaling increased engagement and transparency with the financial community (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: Trimmed modestly from CLP 1,748.27 to CLP 1,686.12, reflecting a slightly more conservative outlook.
  • Discount Rate: Reduced slightly from 16.41 percent to 16.02 percent, indicating a marginally lower perceived risk profile.
  • Revenue Growth: Edged up from 3.41 percent to 3.42 percent, signaling a very small improvement in long term growth expectations.
  • Net Profit Margin: Eased slightly from 3.96 percent to 3.93 percent, incorporating more cautious margin assumptions.
  • Future P E: Lowered modestly from 22.59x to 22.07x, implying a small contraction in the expected valuation multiple.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.