Header cover image

If gold reaches $4,000 per oz

RO
RockeTellerInvested
Community Contributor

Published

September 26 2024

Updated

September 26 2024

Narratives are currently in beta

To calculate the potential stock price of STLLR Gold if gold reaches $4,000 per oz, we'll follow these steps:

  1. Estimate the Total Resource Value:
    • Total resources: 18 million oz
    • Gold price: $4,000 per oz
    Total Resource Value=18,000,000 oz×4,000 USD/oz=72,000,000,000 USD(or 72 billion USD)\text{Total Resource Value} = 18,000,000 \, \text{oz} \times 4,000 \, \text{USD/oz} = 72,000,000,000 \, \text{USD} \quad (\text{or } 72 \, \text{billion USD})Total Resource Value=18,000,000oz×4,000USD/oz=72,000,000,000USD(or 72billion USD)
  2. Valuation as a Producer:
    • If we consider the company as a producer and use a more conservative valuation multiple, say $400 per oz for production:
    Potential Producer Valuation=18,000,000 oz×400 USD/oz=7,200,000,000 USD(or 7.2 billion USD)\text{Potential Producer Valuation} = 18,000,000 \, \text{oz} \times 400 \, \text{USD/oz} = 7,200,000,000 \, \text{USD} \quad (\text{or } 7.2 \, \text{billion USD})Potential Producer Valuation=18,000,000oz×400USD/oz=7,200,000,000USD(or 7.2billion USD)
  3. Calculate Market Cap and Stock Price:
    • To find the stock price, we need the total shares outstanding. For example, if we assume there are 100 million shares outstanding (you'll need to adjust this based on the actual number):
    Stock Price=Market CapShares Outstanding\text{Stock Price} = \frac{\text{Market Cap}}{\text{Shares Outstanding}}Stock Price=Shares OutstandingMarket Cap​If we take the potential producer valuation:Stock Price=7,200,000,000100,000,000=72 USD/share\text{Stock Price} = \frac{7,200,000,000}{100,000,000} = 72 \, \text{USD/share}Stock Price=100,000,0007,200,000,000​=72USD/share

Conclusion

If gold reaches $4,000 per oz, and assuming the company is valued as a producer with potential resources of 18 million oz, the stock price could be around $72 per share if there are 100 million shares outstanding. Adjust the share count accordingly for a precise estimate.

How well do narratives help inform your perspective?

Disclaimer

The user RockeTeller has a position in TSX:STLR. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

Read more narratives

Fair Value
CA$72.0
98.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
RockeTeller's Fair Value
Future estimation in
PastFuture-22m020132016201920222024202520282029Revenue CA$0Earnings CA$0
% p.a.
Decrease
Increase
Current revenue growth rate
78.67%
Metals and Mining revenue growth rate
57.06%