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Update shared on03 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 7.10%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
CA$20.40
16.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
17 Oct
CA$16.95
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1Y
149.6%
7D
9.9%

Orla Mining’s analyst price target has increased from approximately $18.26 to $19.56 per share. Analysts cite higher anticipated profit margins and stronger revenue growth forecasts as key drivers behind the revision.

Analyst Commentary

Recent research updates have highlighted a range of factors influencing Orla Mining's valuation and outlook. Analysts are carefully weighing both optimistic and cautious scenarios, reflecting evolving market dynamics and company performance.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts have recently raised their price targets in response to upward revisions in anticipated earnings and robust operational execution.
  • Improved revenue forecasts and higher forecast profit margins are viewed as strong indicators of continued financial momentum.
  • The company’s ability to maintain an Outperformer rating, even when markets fluctuate, has provided confidence in its growth prospects.
  • Growth initiatives and project advancements are expected to contribute positively to near-term valuation as well as long-term potential.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Some bearish analysts have adjusted their price outlook modestly downward, citing concerns about the sustainability of elevated profit margins.
  • There are ongoing questions about the impact of commodity price volatility on revenue performance and profitability.
  • Execution risk related to cost management and timely project delivery remains a point of caution in current valuation models.
  • Shifts in analyst targets, even if ratings are maintained, suggest lingering uncertainties around market conditions and broader sector performance.

What's in the News

  • The U.S. Bureau of Land Management published the Notice of Intent for the South Railroad Project in Nevada. This initiates the federal review process and advances Orla Mining's next major project. (Key Developments)
  • Orla Mining provided an exploration update at the Camino Rojo deposit in Zacatecas, Mexico. The update highlighted high-grade mineralization and successful completion of a major infill drilling program for Zone 22. (Key Developments)
  • The company revised its consolidated production guidance for 2025 to 265,000 to 285,000 ounces of gold, slightly down from the previous 280,000 to 300,000 ounces. (Key Developments)
  • Second quarter 2025 production results reported 77,811 ounces of gold produced, with 125,570 ounces year to date. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has increased from CA$18.26 to CA$19.56 per share, reflecting heightened expectations for the company's valuation.
  • Discount Rate has risen slightly from 6.61 percent to 6.80 percent. This indicates a modest adjustment in perceived investment risk.
  • Revenue Growth forecast has edged up from 31.5 percent to 31.8 percent, signaling slightly improved growth projections.
  • Net Profit Margin has climbed significantly, moving from 53.3 percent to 71.3 percent. This highlights enhanced expectations for future profitability.
  • Future P/E ratio has fallen from 7.51x to 5.93x, suggesting analysts now anticipate stronger earnings relative to valuation.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.