Update shared on 23 Nov 2025
Fair value Decreased 0.71%Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for High Liner Foods, reducing the fair value estimate from C$18.40 to C$18.27. This change is due to modestly reduced revenue growth forecasts and a more cautious outlook on near-term results following recent financial performance.
Analyst Commentary
Recent analyst updates have provided a nuanced perspective on High Liner Foods, highlighting both opportunities and challenges facing the company in the near term.
Bullish Takeaways
- Bullish analysts cite a transition to a growth phase, with revenue expected to increase and potentially drive the stock higher.
- There are indications of a new USDA contract anticipated to bring a sizable boost in volume starting in late Q4, supporting the growth outlook.
- The current price target reflects optimism around management’s ability to capitalize on improved demand trends and execute operational strategies effectively.
Bearish Takeaways
- Some analysts have adopted a more cautious stance due to below-expectation Q3 results and conservative assumptions on near-term performance.
- Revenue forecasts have been trimmed on the expectation of weaker overall volumes moving forward.
- Reduced price targets reflect concerns about execution risk and the likelihood that near-term recovery could be slower than previously projected.
- Market performance ratings suggest some skepticism regarding High Liner Foods’ ability to deliver consistent growth in the current environment.
What's in the News
- High Liner Foods announced a quarterly dividend of CAD 0.1750 per share. The dividend is payable on December 15, 2025, and has an ex-date and record date of December 1, 2025. (Company announcement)
- Kimberly Stephens has been appointed Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Darryl Bergman. Mr. Bergman will remain in an advisory capacity through October 3, 2025, to assist with the transition. Ms. Stephens brings over 25 years of financial experience and has led the company’s corporate finance team for the past three years. (Company announcement)
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target: The fair value estimate has edged down from CA$18.40 to CA$18.27, reflecting the recent revisions in growth expectations.
- Discount Rate: Increased modestly from 6.15% to 6.25%, indicating a slightly higher perceived risk premium by analysts.
- Revenue Growth: The expected annual revenue growth rate has declined from 6.01% to 5.33%, indicating a more conservative outlook for top-line expansion.
- Net Profit Margin: The projected net profit margin has seen a slight uptick from 4.37% to 4.46%, suggesting improved efficiency or profitability expectations.
- Future P/E: The forward price-to-earnings ratio has decreased from 8.80x to 7.82x, which may reflect lower growth assumptions and valuation adjustments.
Disclaimer
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