Update shared on 02 Dec 2025
Fair value Increased 3.51%The analyst price target for Tamarack Valley Energy has increased by C$0.28 to reflect recent upward revisions from analysts, who cited improved financial forecasts and a continued positive outlook on the company's performance.
Analyst Commentary
Recent research updates for Tamarack Valley Energy reflect a blend of optimism and caution among market analysts. The majority have adjusted price targets upward, signaling improved confidence in the company’s near-term prospects. However, selective downgrades suggest areas of ongoing risk.
Bullish Takeaways- Bullish analysts continue to raise their price targets in response to revised financial forecasts and a constructive short-term industry outlook.
- Outperform ratings are being maintained by several firms, with price targets lifted as high as C$9. This indicates expectations for further upside if operational momentum persists.
- Consensus remains positive on growth prospects. Upward revisions reflect confidence in Tamarack Valley Energy’s ability to execute on its strategic plans.
- Some analysts have recently downgraded the stock to Hold, citing valuation concerns following its recent rally.
- Bearish analysts are cautious about weaker crude prices and how they might affect future earnings and stock performance.
- Despite higher price targets, there is a degree of skepticism around the company’s ability to sustain outsized gains without continued improvement in commodity markets.
What's in the News
- The company has completed the repurchase of 16,864,000 shares for CAD 79.57 million as part of its ongoing buyback program (Buyback Tranche Update).
- Tamarack Valley Energy's Board declared a monthly cash dividend of CAD 0.013333 per share, payable on December 15, 2025 (Dividend Increases).
- Production guidance for 2025 has been reaffirmed, with full year output expected to remain between 67,000 and 69,000 boe per day (Corporate Guidance: New/Confirmed).
- Kevin Johnston will be promoted to Chief Financial Officer, effective January 1, 2026, ensuring continued stability and succession in the executive team (Executive Changes: CFO).
- Third-quarter production results showed total production reached 66,126 boe/d, up from 65,024 boe/d a year ago, driven by increased heavy oil output (Announcement of Operating Results).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value has risen slightly, moving from CA$7.83 to CA$8.10 in the latest update.
- Discount Rate remains stable, with a minimal decrease to 6.12% from the previous 6.12%.
- Revenue Growth expectations have increased, rising from 3.67% to 4.24%.
- Net Profit Margin is marginally lower, updated to 34.13% compared to the prior 34.70%.
- Future P/E ratio has risen modestly, now at 7.68x versus the previous 7.42x.
Disclaimer
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