Update shared on 10 Dec 2025
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Pembina Pipeline to approximately $59.06, citing stable long term revenue growth expectations and resilient profit margins that support maintaining a similar valuation multiple.
What's in the News
- Pembina and PETRONAS signed a 20 year agreement for 1.0 mtpa of liquefaction capacity at the USD 4 billion Cedar LNG project, which remains on time and on budget with an expected in service date in late 2028 (company news release).
- Pembina and partner Kineticor advanced the proposed 1,800 MW Greenlight Electricity Centre in Alberta, including a land sale that is expected to generate approximately $190 million net to Pembina in the fourth quarter of 2025 and a path to final investment decision in the first half of 2026 (company update).
- Pembina provided notice of the redemption price and date for its Series 9 Class A Preferred Shares, progressing the planned redemption process through its transfer agent, Computershare Investor Services (corporate action notice).
- The Canada Energy Regulator approved a negotiated settlement between Alliance Pipeline and shippers covering the Canadian portion of the Alliance Pipeline system, which supports regulatory certainty for Pembina (regulatory filing).
- Pembina's Series 9 Class A Preferred Shares were removed from the S&P/TSX Preferred Share Index, which may affect index linked investor demand for the security (index provider update).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate unchanged at approximately CA$59.06 per share, indicating no material revision to the intrinsic value assessment.
- Discount Rate edged down slightly from 6.118 percent to 6.118 percent, reflecting an immaterial change in the cost of capital assumptions.
- Revenue Growth effectively unchanged at about 0.71 percent, suggesting stable long term top line expectations.
- Net Profit Margin remained steady at roughly 24.63 percent, indicating no meaningful shift in long term profitability assumptions.
- Future P/E consistent at about 20.39 times, implying no significant change in the valuation multiple applied to projected earnings.
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