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MATR: Gradual Macro Recovery Will Unlock Earnings Upside Over The Next Year

Update shared on 15 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 14%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-43.1%
7D
-4.6%

Mattr’s analyst price target has been revised downward from approximately C$12.93 to C$11.07. Analysts cite slower revenue growth expectations and a challenging macro environment as key factors behind the update.

Analyst Commentary

Analysts have delivered a mix of views on Mattr, reflecting both optimism and caution in their latest research updates. The following are key takeaways from recent Street research:

Bullish Takeaways

  • Some bullish analysts are maintaining an Outperform rating, which suggests confidence in Mattr's underlying business fundamentals despite near-term headwinds.
  • Upward revisions to price targets, even if incremental, signal sustained belief in the company's longer-term growth potential and ability to execute on strategic objectives.
  • Expectations persist that with eventual macroeconomic stabilization, Mattr could be positioned for a future inflection point in earnings performance.
  • Support for the current valuation reflects a view that downside risk may be limited and that there is potential for upside as profitability improves.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts have reduced price targets and moved ratings to Hold, reflecting more cautious sentiment about near-term growth.
  • Concerns remain over the sluggish pace of revenue expansion. Expectations are that any significant earnings improvement is likely more than a year away.
  • A challenging macro environment and absence of clear, immediate catalysts are cited as factors limiting upside potential in the short term.
  • The combination of reduced targets and Hold ratings highlights uncertainty regarding the timing of Mattr’s next phase of growth.

What's in the News

  • Mattr completed the repurchase of 517,176 shares for a total of CAD 5.24 million as part of its buyback program announced in June 2025. (Key Developments)
  • The company repurchased 400,000 shares between July and September 2025, representing 0.65% of shares for CAD 5 million. (Key Developments)
  • Mattr issued earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, indicating that revenue from Continuing Operations is expected to be below the third quarter of 2025. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased notably, moving from approximately CA$12.93 to CA$11.07.
  • Discount Rate has edged down slightly, moving from 8.05% to 7.99%.
  • Revenue Growth projections have been revised downward, changing from 10.57% to 7.97%.
  • Net Profit Margin expectations have improved, increasing from 8.79% to 10.35%.
  • Future P/E (Price-to-Earnings) ratio forecast has decreased significantly, going from 6.77x to 4.87x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.