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LCFS: Sustained Sector Momentum And Project Ramp-Up Will Strengthen Outlook

Update shared on 17 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 19%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
395.3%
7D
5.3%

Analysts have increased their price target for Tidewater Renewables from C$4.19 to C$5.00, citing improved revenue forecasts and a lower discount rate, although the outlook for profit margin has been reduced.

Analyst Commentary

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts highlighted the recent price target increase, reflecting confidence in Tidewater Renewables' ability to deliver revenue growth ahead of previous forecasts.
  • Expectations for a lower discount rate point to improved investor sentiment and a more favorable outlook for future cash flows.
  • Stable sector performance and sustained investment interest are seen as key drivers for valuation support in the near term.
  • Opportunities for further operational execution and project ramp-up are noted as factors that could enhance long-term growth potential.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bullish revisions were tempered by concerns over a lowered profit margin outlook, indicating that growth in top-line figures may not fully offset cost pressures.
  • Bearish analysts caution that execution risks, particularly in the scaling of new projects, could limit the pace of earnings improvement.
  • The company's ability to maintain its current growth trajectory may be challenged by uncertainties in regulatory policy and energy market conditions.

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: Increased from CA$4.19 to CA$5.00, following improved revenue expectations.
  • Discount Rate: Decreased from 8.05 percent to 6.99 percent, which indicates a reduced risk assessment in future cash flow projections.
  • Revenue Growth: Revised upward from 22.09 percent to 36.95 percent, reflecting a notable boost in growth outlook.
  • Net Profit Margin: Declined significantly from 9.32 percent to 3.01 percent, signaling increased cost pressure on earnings.
  • Future P/E: Rose from 3.74x to 7.64x, suggesting a higher valuation multiple applied to forward earnings estimates.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.