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Update shared on11 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 2.51%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
CA$119.88
1.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
11 Oct
CA$121.35
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1Y
71.8%
7D
2.0%

The analyst price target for Cameco has been raised from $116.94 to $119.88 per share. Analysts cite improved revenue growth forecasts, increased profit margins, and a slightly lower discount rate as key drivers for the upward adjustment.

Analyst Commentary

Recent adjustments to Cameco’s price target reflect growing optimism among analysts regarding the company’s outlook. Updated research indicates a blend of positive signals and ongoing cautions that are informing valuation perspectives.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Analysts project stronger revenue growth in the upcoming periods, supported by improved market fundamentals and Cameco’s operational performance.
  • Expectations for higher profit margins based on enhanced cost efficiency are contributing to a more favorable view on long-term profitability.
  • A slightly lower discount rate has been applied, which signals increased confidence in Cameco’s risk profile and cash flow stability.
  • Momentum in the uranium sector is expected to drive investor interest and further unlock value in Cameco’s portfolio.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Some analysts remain cautious about near-term volatility in commodity pricing, which may impact revenue predictability.
  • There are concerns about the potential for fluctuating global demand, which could temper growth rates if market conditions soften.
  • Execution risks related to expansion plans and regulatory developments are still present, leaving some downside potential in forecasts.

What's in the News

  • Cameco has finalized a new long-term agreement to supply natural uranium hexafluoride to Slovenske elektrarne for use in Slovakia’s nuclear power plants through 2036. (Client Announcement)
  • The company, along with Orano Canada, entered a landmark 15-year, approximately $500 million agreement with Rise Air, an Indigenous-owned airline. Under this agreement, Rise Air will provide workforce transportation services for northern Saskatchewan operations. (Client Announcement)
  • Heidi Shockey will be appointed as chief financial officer effective September 1, 2025. This appointment is part of Cameco’s executive succession plans. (Executive Change)
  • Cameco reported unaudited consolidated production results for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2025. Uranium production was down year-over-year, while fuel services production saw an increase. (Operating Results)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from CA$116.94 to CA$119.88 per share, reflecting updated positive outlooks.
  • Discount Rate has decreased marginally from 6.02% to 5.97%, indicating modestly lower perceived risk in cash flow projections.
  • Revenue Growth expectations have increased from 3.45% to 5.19%, pointing to improved forecasts for top-line expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin has grown from 31.79% to 34.42%, supporting the case for enhanced operational efficiency and profitability.
  • Future P/E has fallen from 48.25x to 43.38x, suggesting anticipated earnings growth and a potentially more attractive valuation.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.