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Update shared on29 Aug 2025

Fair value Decreased 0.91%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
CA$82.54
7.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
04 Sep
CA$76.24
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1Y
-0.8%
7D
9.5%

Analysts remain overall positive on Alimentation Couche-Tard, citing resilient earnings growth, robust cash flow, and successful M&A execution, though some caution around fuel margin normalization and integration risks led to a slight decrease in the consensus price target from CA$83.30 to CA$82.43.


Analyst Commentary


  • Bullish analysts are raising price targets incrementally due to expectations of continued outperformance and strong fundamentals.
  • Upward adjustments reflect confidence in resilient earnings growth and efficient operating performance.
  • Analysts highlight robust cash flow generation supporting ongoing share buybacks and dividend growth.
  • The company’s successful execution of its acquisition strategy and international expansion is cited as a driver of medium-term upside.
  • The slight downward adjustment from bearish analysts reflects cautiousness around fuel margin normalization and potential short-term integration risks from recent acquisitions.

What's in the News


  • The Board of Directors authorized a new buyback plan.
  • Alimentation Couche-Tard will repurchase up to 77,115,921 common shares (8.13% of share capital) under a normal course issuer bid; all repurchased shares will be cancelled, with the plan valid until July 22, 2026.
  • As of July 14, 2025, there were 948,064,405 shares issued and outstanding.
  • From February 3, 2025 to April 27, 2025, the company repurchased 0 shares under the previous buyback, but has completed a total of 8,695,652 shares repurchased (0.91% for $518.9 million) under the buyback announced April 29, 2024.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Alimentation Couche-Tard

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from CA$83.30 to CA$82.43.
  • The Future P/E for Alimentation Couche-Tard has significantly risen from 22.19x to 31.54x.
  • The Net Profit Margin for Alimentation Couche-Tard has fallen slightly from 4.00% to 3.87%.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.