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ATRL: Ongoing Order Momentum Will Drive Share Performance Into 2025

Update shared on 05 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 0.82%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
34.6%
7D
-6.0%

AtkinsRéalis Group's analyst price target has increased modestly, rising from approximately $113.03 to $113.96. This change is based on updated analyst estimates that reflect an ongoing positive earnings outlook and recent upward revisions in target prices.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst actions have highlighted a generally optimistic tone regarding AtkinsRéalis Group's prospects, with several firms increasing their price targets in response to ongoing earnings momentum and improved growth expectations. Below is a summary of the prevailing views from the analyst community.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts have continued to raise target prices, signaling confidence in the company's robust fundamentals and upward earnings trajectory.
  • Improved revenue growth execution and the company's ability to deliver on operational performance have prompted positive reassessments of valuation.
  • Consistent Buy and Outperform ratings reflect expectations that AtkinsRéalis can maintain or accelerate its current pace of margin expansion and top-line improvement.
  • Some analysts are factoring in continued sector tailwinds and strengthening order pipelines, which support a favorable outlook for long-term growth.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts have shown some caution by lowering price targets when performance or guidance fell short of earlier elevated expectations.
  • Concerns remain about the company's ability to sustain recent momentum against rising cost pressures and competitive dynamics in the sector.
  • Execution risk is a focus, especially if order conversions or project timing face unforeseen disruptions.

What's in the News

  • AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. (TSX:ATRL) has been added to the FTSE All-World Index (USD), reflecting increasing recognition on global markets (Key Developments).
  • The company launched SIMULATOR, a new suite of digital resilience planning solutions for cities, transportation, and critical infrastructure at the 2025 ITS World Congress. This builds on the City Simulator platform (Key Developments).
  • Management confirmed a primary focus on inorganic growth and continued investment in bolt-on and tuck-in acquisitions, particularly in the U.S. and other strategic markets. The company is not aiming for transformational acquisitions in the near term (Key Developments).
  • AtkinsRéalis repurchased 1,604,500 shares from April to June 2025, completing the buyback of nearly two million shares announced in March for a total of CAD 154.9 million (Key Developments).
  • The group raised full-year 2025 earnings guidance with a higher outlook for Nuclear revenue and record backlog, despite adjusting its Engineering Services organic revenue growth outlook downward for certain regions (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly, moving from approximately CA$113.03 to CA$113.96.
  • The discount rate has inched higher, now at 7.47 percent compared to the previous 7.38 percent.
  • Revenue growth assumptions have edged down marginally, from 7.64 percent to 7.59 percent.
  • The net profit margin projection has increased modestly, rising from 6.90 percent to 6.91 percent.
  • The future P/E ratio estimate has gone up slightly, changing from 22.24x to 22.49x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.