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ASAI3: New Stores And Disciplined Capex Will Drive Upside Through 2026

Update shared on 13 Dec 2025

Fair value Decreased 1.07%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
48.0%
7D
-2.4%

Narrative Update on Sendas Distribuidora

The analyst price target for Sendas Distribuidora has been trimmed by approximately $0.13 to about $12.35, as analysts factor in slightly slower projected revenue growth, modestly softer profit margins, and a higher implied future valuation multiple.

What's in the News

  • Company updates 2026 guidance, targeting approximately BRL 700 million in investments while maintaining plans to open 10 new stores, signaling a more conservative capex profile to support deleveraging (company guidance / CVM filing).
  • Management reiterates 2025 projections of BRL 1.0 to 1.2 billion in investments and the opening of 10 stores, underscoring confidence in near term expansion despite a more cautious 2026 outlook (company guidance / CVM filing).
  • Board meeting scheduled for November 6, 2025 to review third quarter 2025 results, approve a potential share issuance under the stock option plan and related capital increase, and consider changes to the Corporate Risk Management Policy (board meeting notice).
  • Analyst and Investor Day announced, providing a forum for management to update the market on strategy, growth plans, and capital allocation priorities (company event notice).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target was trimmed slightly from R$12.48 to about R$12.35, reflecting modest adjustments to growth and profitability assumptions.
  • The Discount Rate increased moderately from 22.59 percent to approximately 23.57 percent, implying a higher required return and a slightly lower present value of future cash flows.
  • Revenue Growth was revised down marginally from 7.32 percent to around 7.14 percent, indicating slightly more conservative top line expectations.
  • Net Profit Margin eased slightly from 2.14 percent to about 2.05 percent, capturing expectations for modest pressure on profitability.
  • Future P/E moved up from 15.10x to roughly 16.06x, suggesting a higher implied valuation multiple despite more cautious operating assumptions.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.